Designcapital*: Buy with a 26p target price
![]() |
|
| 1st February 2010 | |
Designcapital*: Initiation of Coverage at 13p |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
![]() |
We initiate our coverage of Designcapital after a Paris site visit last week. The company is the sole AIM listed play on the luxury branded high end “design” furniture market. Run by a team with extensive experience of the retails and investment world it was established in June 2007 with the intention of acting as a consolidator in the highly fragmented European portion of a global market worth €18.7 billion in 2008 and which is growing rapidly. The company listed on AIM at 10p on January 21st 2008, raising £5.5 million, and it still retains the possibility to call on £2.6 million deferred subscriptions not drawn at Admission time. Within four months it had made its first two acquisitions – Artelano, a creator of high end furniture founded in Paris in 1972 and Forum a retailer of similar products which was established in 1982. Turning round these two troubled enterprises is a lengthy process as a result of the complexities of French employment and creditor protection laws but we believe that this process is almost complete and that results will be seen when Designcapital reports results for the second half of calendar 2009 in April 2010 and that the restructured group will move into both EBITDA and Pre-Tax profit during the year just started. The company was established to act as a consolidator within the European design space. The recession, lack of credit for smaller businesses and the fact that the entrepreneurs behind many businesses started in the late 1960s and 1970s are now reaching retirement age without natural successors means that in a fragmented market there are numerous opportunities. However the company stresses that while it seeks to buy 7-10 high end to luxury brands, and up to 40 large high street multibrand show-rooms of luxury design furniture, which face special situations (succession issue, balance sheet problems, etc) and so can be bought at attractive prices, the process is lengthy and, directors claim, that the average transaction will take 12-24 months to complete. Once bought – for a combination of cash and equity – and once complex European employment legislation can be overcome which may take 6 to 12 months, new companies can be quickly integrated into the Designcapital infrastructure so allowing the group to boost margins significantly as a result of increased buying power and the rationalisation of central office functions. The group is now at a stage where additional turnover – whether generated organically or as a result of acquisition – should, post rationalisation, generating an operating margin of 45%. Artelano works closely with world class designers such as Patricia Urquiola, Ora Ito, Piero Lissoni, Christophe Pillet, Olivier Gagnère, Marco Zanuso Jr., Eric Gizard, Shin Azumi, Qiong-er Jiang, Francesc Rifé, Carlo Tamborini and Marc Krusin, and others. Its collections include tables, chairs, sofas and other pieces of furniture.
In 2008, Forum Diffusion and Forum Developpement, the two companies acquired, generated consolidated sales of €16 million and managed to lose €1.6 million at the EBITDA level. Again a management loan (of €900,000) was utilised for a restructuring which saw 48% of staff lose their jobs as Forum Diffusion again entered the equivalent of Chapter 11. In its interims for 2009, Designcapital reported that Forum was already trading at a cashflow positive level albeit on markedly lower sales. The bulk of Forum’s sales are to corporate customers rather than to individuals and going forward, in terms of acquisitions, Designcapital will seek to retain this bias and will also seek to introduce more of its own product into its retail outlets in order to boost margins but will still stock a wide range of product in order to maintain footfall. The key individuals behind Designcapital are its executive chairman Frederic Bobo who came from a 23 year career in investment banking; executive director Philippe Herve who has 30 years furniture experience and fellow executive director Sacha Tikhormiroff who has two decades of experience in strategic consulting and retail. The key figure is Bobo whose 35% stake, plus an additional deferred subscription allowing him to invest a further £1.3 million in the business, leaves his interests well aligned with other shareholders although with 93% of the equity held by just three parties, this is not the most liquid of investments. This is a matter that the board is determined to address. We will be publishing a more detailed note shortly as the company accelerates its acquisition strategy and demonstrates tangible progress towards delivering a rapid growth in profitability. However, we believe that this process will start in calendar 2010 as the fruits of the restructuring of both Artelano and Forum bear fruit. As both companies continue to gain market share and to generate a 45% operating margin while doing so the operational gearing will be significant and therefore while we expect only modest profits and earnings this year, in 2011 the bottom line performance will be material and could well be augmented by additional acquisitions. The five year goal of the management team is to create a group delivering sales close to the £80 million mark (€100 million) which would filter down to earnings per share, on a normal tax charge, of 38p although we would note that this is a sales ambition which can only be realised by issuing new shares and this – plus transaction risk means the 38p number cannot be viewed as a forecast. We start our coverage with a 2011 target price based on 20 times 2011 forecast earnings. For a growth stock with a strong balance sheet, a highly scaleable model with the potential to deliver a mammoth ramp up in earnings during the next half decade and which is already starting to deliver, that is far from demanding.At 13p our stance is buy with a 26p target price. Forecast Table
Source: Growth Equities & Company Research. *Design Capital is a corporate client of RSCF, which is owned by RSH the ultimate owner of GE&CR. RSCF will act as advisor and broker to Designcapital and its duties may include the placing of securities in Designcapital PLC. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
- Post to: del.icio.us
- Digg
- Fark







_clip_image002.jpg)
_clip_image004.jpg)






